Qualification · Qualification 109

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

509.25 – 766.75

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

445 – 703

Prediction correct · off by 64 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 850 ±8.7

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 131.09Rank 57Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7160Ludington O-Bots

Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 131.1Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 247.06Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 881.9 ±8.8

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 280.4Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1540Flaming Chickens

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 248.32Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4400Cerbotics - Peñoles

Season APEX 270.6Event APEX 238.03Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2067, 7160, 1796

/ 100 compat

Projected

509.3 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 2067, 7160, 1796

Auto

87.0 17%

Teleop

293.3 58%

Endgame

127.2 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9128, 1540, 4400

/ 100 compat

Projected

766.8 pts

~3.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 9128, 1540, 4400

Auto

159.6 21%

Teleop

406.2 54%

Endgame

189.8 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.17 · Blue 3.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score509.3pts

Blue projected score766.8pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 73%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 34%, blue 45%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -257.5
Score range: 427–849
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1148 vs event baseline 456.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

850Season APEX881.9

87Auto159.6

293.3Teleop406.2

127.2Endgame189.8

139Consistency216

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	117	79
teleop	251	398
endgame	72	221
foul	5	5
total	445	703

Result

Final score

445 – 703

Prediction correct · off by 64 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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