Qualification · Qualification 105

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

441.05 – 469.02

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

558 – 191

Prediction missed · off by 197.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 909 ±14.3

604Quixilver

Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 175.39Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4590GreenBlitz

Provisional

Season APEX 339.5Event APEX 107.88Rank 30Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3966Gryphon Command

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 157.78Rank 19Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 636.3 ±11.1

10903The Ionizers

Season APEX 189.9Event APEX 143.58Rank 51Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5216E-Ville Empire

Season APEX 234.2Event APEX 225.63Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

233The Pink Team

Season APEX 212.2Event APEX 99.81Rank 59Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 604, 4590, 3966

/ 100 compat

Projected

441.1 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 604, 4590, 3966

Auto

61.5 14%

Teleop

238.3 55%

Endgame

132.1 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10903, 5216, 233

/ 100 compat

Projected

469 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 10903, 5216, 233

Auto

61.4 13%

Teleop

241.0 53%

Endgame

155.6 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.92 · Blue 2.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score441.1pts

Blue projected score469pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 73%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 34%, blue 33%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -28
Score range: 359–551
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 749 vs event baseline 456.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

909Season APEX636.3

61.5Auto61.4

238.3Teleop241

132.1Endgame155.6

156Consistency162

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	134	60
teleop	336	88
endgame	88	43
foul	0	0
total	558	191

Result

Final score

558 – 191

Prediction missed · off by 197.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.