Qualification · Qualification 103

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

320.97 – 549.7

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

406 – 462

Prediction correct · off by 86.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 653.1 ±9.9

386Team Voltage

Season APEX 199Event APEX 88.13Rank 73Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4561TerrorBytes

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 139.65Rank 38Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2586Copper Bots

Season APEX 214.5Event APEX 93.19Rank 55Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 868.4 ±11.2

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 284.54Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2052KnightKrawler

Season APEX 267.9Event APEX 194.87Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1884Griffins

Season APEX 284.1Event APEX 70.29Rank 74Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 386, 4561, 2586

/ 100 compat

Projected

321 pts

~1.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 386, 4561, 2586

Auto

71.1 22%

Teleop

183.2 56%

Endgame

73.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 973, 2052, 1884

/ 100 compat

Projected

549.7 pts

~2.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 973, 2052, 1884

Auto

127.5 23%

Teleop

272.8 50%

Endgame

143.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.99 · Blue 2.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score321pts

Blue projected score549.7pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -228.7
Score range: 239–632
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 868 vs event baseline 456.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

653.1Season APEX868.4

71.1Auto127.5

183.2Teleop272.8

73.5Endgame143.8

159Consistency157

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	51
teleop	207	233
endgame	110	173
foul	15	5
total	406	462

Result

Final score

406 – 462

Prediction correct · off by 86.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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