Qualification · Qualification 101

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

268.62 – 530.26

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

410 – 775

Prediction correct · off by 193.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 735.4 ±13.9

6352LAUNCH TEAM

A+

Season APEX 294.5Event APEX 98.68Rank 66Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89

10291MUTUM-X

Season APEX 270.3Event APEX 98.66Rank 42Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4253Raid Zero

Season APEX 170.6Event APEX 71.28Rank 75Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 931.6 ±8.1

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 150.59Rank 37Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2046Bear Metal

Season APEX 348Event APEX 224.36Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3256WarriorBorgs

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 155.31Rank 36Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6352, 10291, 4253

/ 100 compat

Projected

268.6 pts

~1.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 6352, 10291, 4253

Auto

26.6 10%

Teleop

163.3 61%

Endgame

79.5 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 195, 2046, 3256

/ 100 compat

Projected

530.3 pts

~2.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 195, 2046, 3256

Auto

118.8 22%

Teleop

279.2 53%

Endgame

131.8 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.98 · Blue 2.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score268.6pts

Blue projected score530.3pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 36%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -261.6
Score range: 187–612
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1185 vs event baseline 454.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

735.4Season APEX931.6

26.6Auto118.8

163.3Teleop279.2

79.5Endgame131.8

137Consistency121

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	162
teleop	228	487
endgame	146	121
foul	0	5
total	410	775

Result

Final score

410 – 775

Prediction correct · off by 193.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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