Qualification · Qualification 100

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

509.46 – 302.67

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

394 – 219

Prediction correct · off by 99.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 661.1 ±9.8

6988ACI35

Season APEX 142.2Event APEX 95.71Rank 60Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 255.78Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9067The Goonies

Season APEX 176.1Event APEX 157.97Rank 39Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 632 ±9.3

9450Velocity Raptors

Season APEX 204.6Event APEX 82.2Rank 71Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7160Ludington O-Bots

Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 149.19Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 71.28Rank 68Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6988, 1796, 9067

/ 100 compat

Projected

509.5 pts

~2.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 6988, 1796, 9067

Auto

79.6 16%

Teleop

276.4 57%

Endgame

131.8 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9450, 7160, 10979

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.7 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 9450, 7160, 10979

Auto

48.9 16%

Teleop

180.3 60%

Endgame

68.9 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.92 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score509.5pts

Blue projected score302.7pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 78%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 206.8
Score range: 221–591
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 613 vs event baseline 455.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

661.1Season APEX632

79.6Auto48.9

276.4Teleop180.3

131.8Endgame68.9

176Consistency163

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	30
teleop	213	88
endgame	91	61
foul	5	40
total	394	219

Result

Final score

394 – 219

Prediction correct · off by 99.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable