Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
210.81 – 210.81
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
374 – 241
Prediction correct · off by 96.7 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 900.2 ±13.9
Season APEX 271.5Event APEX -Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 289.2Event APEX -Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4590GreenBlitz
Provisional
Season APEX 339.5Event APEX -Rank 30Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 644.3 ±8.7
Season APEX 214.5Event APEX -Rank 55Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 232.4Event APEX -Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 197.4Event APEX -Rank 52Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1922, 599, 4590
50
/ 100 compatProjected
210.8 pts
~2.2 RP (championship)
Teams: 1922, 599, 4590
Auto
63.2 30%
Teleop
105.4 50%
Endgame
42.2 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 78%
Supercharged: 42%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2586, 8373, 1807
50
/ 100 compatProjected
210.8 pts
~2.0 RP (championship)
Teams: 2586, 8373, 1807
Auto
63.2 30%
Teleop
105.4 50%
Endgame
42.2 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 78%
Supercharged: 42%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.22 · Blue 2
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score210.8pts
Blue projected score210.8pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 78%, blue 68%
Supercharged bonusred 42%, blue 30%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 135–287
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
900.2Season APEX644.3
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 61 | 80 |
| teleop | 213 | 104 |
| endgame | 95 | 57 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 374 | 241 |
Result
Final score
374 – 241
Prediction correct · off by 96.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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