New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 94

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

152.22 – 349.96

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

208 – 420

Prediction correct · off by 62.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 303.6 ±10.4

3566Gone Fishin'

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 8.16Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1350The Rambots

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 32.91Rank 43Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 111.15Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 496.1 ±9.8

8013Boston Lions

Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 103.51Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

166Chop Shop

Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 165.29Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5962perSEVERE

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 81.16Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3566, 1350, 228

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3566, 1350, 228

Auto

34.7 24%

Teleop

86.7 59%

Endgame

25.6 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8013, 166, 5962

/ 100 compat

Projected

350 pts

~2.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8013, 166, 5962

Auto

93.8 28%

Teleop

171.4 51%

Endgame

70.0 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.83 · Blue 2.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score152.2pts

Blue projected score350pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 38%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -197.7
Score range: 97–405
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 628 vs event baseline 304.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

303.6Season APEX496.1

34.7Auto93.8

86.7Teleop171.4

25.6Endgame70

99Consistency85

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	94
teleop	99	249
endgame	72	77
foul	0	0
total	208	420

Result

Final score

208 – 420

Prediction correct · off by 62.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.