New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 89

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

394.49 – 200.67

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

322 – 293

Prediction correct · off by 82.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 557.8 ±9.8

2648Infinite Loop

Season APEX 121.7Event APEX 108.88Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4761The Robockets

Season APEX 134.5Event APEX 53.94Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 231.67Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 486.9 ±9.8

1922Oz-Ram

Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 162.1Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3566Gone Fishin'

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 0.21Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11483Red Line Robotics

Season APEX 110.8Event APEX 38.36Rank 36Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2648, 4761, 6328

/ 100 compat

Projected

394.5 pts

~2.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2648, 4761, 6328

Auto

74.1 19%

Teleop

245.4 63%

Endgame

73.1 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 29%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1922, 3566, 11483

/ 100 compat

Projected

200.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1922, 3566, 11483

Auto

32.5 16%

Teleop

112.3 56%

Endgame

55.7 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 29%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.71 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score394.5pts

Blue projected score200.7pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 29%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 193.8
Score range: 146–449
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 615 vs event baseline 305.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

557.8Season APEX486.9

74.1Auto32.5

245.4Teleop112.3

73.1Endgame55.7

73Consistency92

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	47
teleop	209	120
endgame	52	96
foul	0	30
total	322	293

Result

Final score

322 – 293

Prediction correct · off by 82.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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