New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 88

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

168.65 – 163.52

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

88 – 409

Prediction missed · off by 163.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 258.4 ±10.4

4041Iron Tigers

Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 58.43Rank 41Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

558Elm City Robo Squad

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 85.88Rank 45Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3182Athena's Warriors

Season APEX 70Event APEX 24.34Rank 47Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 417.3 ±9.8

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 8.45Rank 37Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

166Chop Shop

Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 141.65Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1350The Rambots

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 13.42Rank 43Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4041, 558, 3182

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4041, 558, 3182

Auto

49.8 29%

Teleop

90.0 53%

Endgame

29.5 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1735, 166, 1350

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1735, 166, 1350

Auto

67.1 42%

Teleop

66.3 42%

Endgame

25.1 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score168.7pts

Blue projected score163.5pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 5.1
Score range: 109–224
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 497 vs event baseline 305.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

258.4Season APEX417.3

49.8Auto67.1

90Teleop66.3

29.5Endgame25.1

47Consistency117

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	78
teleop	50	215
endgame	23	106
foul	0	10
total	88	409

Result

Final score

88 – 409

Prediction missed · off by 163.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.