New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 84

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

625.66 – 195.55

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

734 – 189

Prediction correct · off by 57.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 861.2 ±8.1

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 293.92Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 191.84Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8046LakerBots

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 139.9Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 339.1 ±10.4

11483Red Line Robotics

Season APEX 110.8Event APEX 39.38Rank 36Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8013Boston Lions

Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 100.54Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8889Project W

Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 55.63Rank 49Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3467, 7407, 8046

/ 100 compat

Projected

625.7 pts

~3.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3467, 7407, 8046

Auto

115.0 19%

Teleop

353.7 58%

Endgame

136.0 22%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 41%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11483, 8013, 8889

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 11483, 8013, 8889

Auto

58.5 30%

Teleop

91.8 47%

Endgame

43.1 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 41%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 3 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score625.7pts

Blue projected score195.6pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 41%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 430.1
Score range: 141–681
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 923 vs event baseline 303.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

861.2Season APEX339.1

115Auto58.5

353.7Teleop91.8

136Endgame43.1

118Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	121	30
teleop	402	88
endgame	206	56
foul	5	15
total	734	189

Result

Final score

734 – 189

Prediction correct · off by 57.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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