New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 81

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

347.58 – 76.48

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

296 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 69 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 502.7 ±9.8

467Center of Mass

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 63.75Rank 48Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4761The Robockets

Season APEX 134.5Event APEX 65.2Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 218.63Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 286.3 ±10.4

1119Pup Cups

Season APEX 109.8Event APEX 43.1Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4041Iron Tigers

Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 51.69Rank 41Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3597Robo-Rangers

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX -18.31Rank 50Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 467, 4761, 88

/ 100 compat

Projected

347.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 467, 4761, 88

Auto

63.3 18%

Teleop

195.1 56%

Endgame

93.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1119, 4041, 3597

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1119, 4041, 3597

Auto

24.8 35%

Teleop

23.1 33%

Endgame

22.6 32%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.63 · Blue 0.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score347.6pts

Blue projected score76.5pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 271.1
Score range: 21–403
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 459 vs event baseline 305.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

502.7Season APEX286.3

63.3Auto24.8

195.1Teleop23.1

93Endgame22.6

59Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	70	24
teleop	161	88
endgame	65	51
foul	0	0
total	296	163

Result

Final score

296 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 69 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.