Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
146.71 – 146.71
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
192 – 44
Prediction correct · off by 74 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 424.6 ±9.8
Season APEX 131.3Event APEX -Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 166.8Event APEX -Rank 26Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 126.5Event APEX -Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 297.5 ±10.4
Season APEX 84.7Event APEX -Rank 42Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 134.5Event APEX -Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.3Event APEX -Rank 45Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8085, 6201, 8013
50
/ 100 compatProjected
146.7 pts
~1.7 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 8085, 6201, 8013
Auto
44.0 30%
Teleop
73.4 50%
Endgame
29.3 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 22%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7153, 4761, 558
50
/ 100 compatProjected
146.7 pts
~1.7 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 7153, 4761, 558
Auto
44.0 30%
Teleop
73.4 50%
Endgame
29.3 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 22%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.72
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score146.7pts
Blue projected score146.7pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample230alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 18%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 94–200
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
424.6Season APEX297.5
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 43 | 24 |
| teleop | 123 | 9 |
| endgame | 26 | 11 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 192 | 44 |
Result
Final score
192 – 44
Prediction correct · off by 74 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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