New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 77

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

165.2 – 295.77

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

210 – 375

Prediction correct · off by 62 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 384.6 ±9.8

7674RaiderBots

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 91.85Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 39.98Rank 46Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6201The Highlanders

Season APEX 166.8Event APEX 33.37Rank 26Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 476.2 ±9.8

1991The Dragons

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX 6.78Rank 40Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 188.12Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2648Infinite Loop

Season APEX 121.7Event APEX 100.87Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7674, 61, 6201

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7674, 61, 6201

Auto

29.0 19%

Teleop

77.8 51%

Endgame

47.2 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1991, 7407, 2648

/ 100 compat

Projected

295.8 pts

~2.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1991, 7407, 2648

Auto

50.7 18%

Teleop

158.8 58%

Endgame

65.6 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.96 · Blue 2.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score165.2pts

Blue projected score295.8pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -130.6
Score range: 111–350
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 585 vs event baseline 302.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

384.6Season APEX476.2

29Auto50.7

77.8Teleop158.8

47.2Endgame65.6

63Consistency129

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	70
teleop	107	186
endgame	66	84
foul	0	35
total	210	375

Result

Final score

210 – 375

Prediction correct · off by 62 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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