New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

367.35 – 131.6

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

387 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 55 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 616 ±9.8

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 266.36Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8889Project W

Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 58.06Rank 49Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3323Potential Energy

Season APEX 122.4Event APEX 42.93Rank 23Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 316.2 ±10.4

1071Team MAX

Season APEX 105Event APEX 31.65Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8013Boston Lions

Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 93.54Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 6.41Rank 42Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6329, 8889, 3323

/ 100 compat

Projected

367.4 pts

~2.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6329, 8889, 3323

Auto

75.9 22%

Teleop

181.1 52%

Endgame

93.5 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1071, 8013, 7153

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1071, 8013, 7153

Auto

43.4 34%

Teleop

66.1 52%

Endgame

17.9 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.67 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score367.4pts

Blue projected score131.6pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 235.8
Score range: 78–421
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 609 vs event baseline 302.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

616Season APEX316.2

75.9Auto43.4

181.1Teleop66.1

93.5Endgame17.9

94Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	82	43
teleop	201	111
endgame	99	68
foul	5	0
total	387	222

Result

Final score

387 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 55 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.