New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 74

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

458.85 – 289.53

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

511 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 81.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 565.9 ±9.8

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 258.65Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 169.05Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3182Athena's Warriors

Season APEX 70Event APEX 31.15Rank 47Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 373.6 ±10.4

1153Timberwolves

Season APEX 156.7Event APEX 154.67Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8544Reinforcement

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 73.85Rank 44Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4041Iron Tigers

Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 61.01Rank 41Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6328, 1699, 3182

/ 100 compat

Projected

458.9 pts

~2.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6328, 1699, 3182

Auto

79.0 17%

Teleop

292.8 64%

Endgame

86.6 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1153, 8544, 4041

/ 100 compat

Projected

289.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1153, 8544, 4041

Auto

24.8 9%

Teleop

160.9 58%

Endgame

91.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.65 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score458.9pts

Blue projected score289.5pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 34%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 169.3
Score range: 236–513
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 690 vs event baseline 301.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

565.9Season APEX373.6

79Auto24.8

292.8Teleop160.9

86.6Endgame91.9

46Consistency97

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	105	41
teleop	328	101
endgame	78	37
foul	0	0
total	511	179

Result

Final score

511 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 81.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.