New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

285.15 – 212.09

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

291 – 181

Prediction correct · off by 18.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 454.1 ±9.4

1350The Rambots

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 38.42Rank 43Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2648Infinite Loop

Season APEX 121.7Event APEX 101.2Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 145.53Rank 12Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 376 ±10.4

839Rosie Robotics

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 87.31Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4761The Robockets

Season APEX 134.5Event APEX 74.95Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1119Pup Cups

Season APEX 109.8Event APEX 49.83Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1350, 2648, 190

/ 100 compat

Projected

285.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1350, 2648, 190

Auto

58.5 21%

Teleop

157.5 57%

Endgame

62.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 839, 4761, 1119

/ 100 compat

Projected

212.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 839, 4761, 1119

Auto

37.9 18%

Teleop

128.3 62%

Endgame

39.9 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.13 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score285.2pts

Blue projected score212.1pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 73.1
Score range: 158–339
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 472 vs event baseline 301.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

454.1Season APEX376

58.5Auto37.9

157.5Teleop128.3

62.2Endgame39.9

103Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	57
teleop	203	69
endgame	41	35
foul	0	20
total	291	181

Result

Final score

291 – 181

Prediction correct · off by 18.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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