Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
155.96 – 155.96
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
299 – 66
Prediction correct · off by 116.5 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 521.7 ±9.8
Season APEX 140.1Event APEX -Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 110.1Event APEX -Rank 41Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 271.5Event APEX -Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 333.3 ±10.4
Season APEX 114.1Event APEX -Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 108.4Event APEX -Rank 48Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 110.8Event APEX -Rank 36Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1100, 4041, 1922
50
/ 100 compatProjected
156 pts
~1.8 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 1100, 4041, 1922
Auto
46.8 30%
Teleop
78.0 50%
Endgame
31.2 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11131, 467, 11483
50
/ 100 compatProjected
156 pts
~1.6 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 11131, 467, 11483
Auto
46.8 30%
Teleop
78.0 50%
Endgame
31.2 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.79 · Blue 1.61
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score156pts
Blue projected score156pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample230alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 15%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 100–212
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
521.7Season APEX333.3
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 56 | 22 |
| teleop | 163 | 28 |
| endgame | 80 | 16 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 299 | 66 |
Result
Final score
299 – 66
Prediction correct · off by 116.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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