New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

81.52 – 271.5

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

172 – 198

Prediction correct · off by 82 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 311.5 ±10.4

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 6.12Rank 42Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7674RaiderBots

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 80Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX -4.6Rank 37Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 564.8 ±8.8

3597Robo-Rangers

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX -8.33Rank 50Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 150.21Rank 12Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8046LakerBots

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 129.62Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7153, 7674, 1735

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7153, 7674, 1735

Auto

41.2 55%

Teleop

23.7 32%

Endgame

9.9 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3597, 190, 8046

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.5 pts

~2.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3597, 190, 8046

Auto

33.1 12%

Teleop

157.3 59%

Endgame

74.9 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score81.5pts

Blue projected score271.5pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -190
Score range: 28–326
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 370 vs event baseline 302.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

311.5Season APEX564.8

41.2Auto33.1

23.7Teleop157.3

9.9Endgame74.9

67Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	54
teleop	34	80
endgame	55	64
foul	30	0
total	172	198

Result

Final score

172 – 198

Prediction correct · off by 82 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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