New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

183.72 – 264.93

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

160 – 405

Prediction correct · off by 81.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 304.5 ±10.4

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 114.23Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8544Reinforcement

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 73.48Rank 44Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3597Robo-Rangers

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX -3.99Rank 50Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 519.3 ±9.8

1071Team MAX

Season APEX 105Event APEX 27.65Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 75.76Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 161.52Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8085, 8544, 3597

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8085, 8544, 3597

Auto

43.9 24%

Teleop

96.7 52%

Endgame

45.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1071, 1100, 7407

/ 100 compat

Projected

264.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1071, 1100, 7407

Auto

45.6 18%

Teleop

146.8 59%

Endgame

57.3 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.12 · Blue 2.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score183.7pts

Blue projected score264.9pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 26%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -81.2
Score range: 130–319
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 565 vs event baseline 302.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

304.5Season APEX519.3

43.9Auto45.6

96.7Teleop146.8

45.7Endgame57.3

99Consistency105

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	90
teleop	91	217
endgame	53	98
foul	0	0
total	160	405

Result

Final score

160 – 405

Prediction correct · off by 81.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.