New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

112.4 – 283.46

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

318 – 357

Prediction correct · off by 139.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 344.3 ±10.4

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 91.66Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3566Gone Fishin'

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX -16.51Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

467Center of Mass

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 37.25Rank 48Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 524.8 ±9.8

95Grasshoppers

Season APEX 164.4Event APEX 76.11Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1350The Rambots

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 42.34Rank 43Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 165.01Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8085, 3566, 467

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8085, 3566, 467

Auto

43.0 41%

Teleop

53.0 50%

Endgame

10.0 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 95, 1350, 176

/ 100 compat

Projected

283.5 pts

~2.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 95, 1350, 176

Auto

60.2 22%

Teleop

139.4 52%

Endgame

68.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.87 · Blue 2.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score112.4pts

Blue projected score283.5pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -171.1
Score range: 59–336
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 675 vs event baseline 294.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

344.3Season APEX524.8

43Auto60.2

53Teleop139.4

10Endgame68.8

112Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	76
teleop	165	198
endgame	83	78
foul	5	5
total	318	357

Result

Final score

318 – 357

Prediction correct · off by 139.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.