New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

220.28 – 536.88

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

184 – 518

Prediction correct · off by 27.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 441.3 ±9.8

3323Potential Energy

Season APEX 122.4Event APEX 43.06Rank 23Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3182Athena's Warriors

Season APEX 70Event APEX 32.02Rank 47Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8046LakerBots

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 145.2Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 733.5 ±9.3

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 187.28Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 207.48Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

319Big Bad Bob

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 142.12Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3323, 3182, 8046

/ 100 compat

Projected

220.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3323, 3182, 8046

Auto

35.7 17%

Teleop

127.1 62%

Endgame

42.6 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7407, 6328, 319

/ 100 compat

Projected

536.9 pts

~3.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7407, 6328, 319

Auto

105.6 20%

Teleop

286.4 55%

Endgame

125.7 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.7 · Blue 2.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score220.3pts

Blue projected score536.9pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 39%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -316.6
Score range: 162–595
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 702 vs event baseline 319.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

441.3Season APEX733.5

35.7Auto105.6

127.1Teleop286.4

42.6Endgame125.7

62Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	83
teleop	137	296
endgame	33	139
foul	0	0
total	184	518

Result

Final score

184 – 518

Prediction correct · off by 27.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.