New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

193.2 – 254.01

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

376 – 332

Prediction missed · off by 130.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 399.1 ±10.4

1153Timberwolves

Season APEX 156.7Event APEX 113.35Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX -25.43Rank 42Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

319Big Bad Bob

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 105.28Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 377.9 ±10.4

2648Infinite Loop

Season APEX 121.7Event APEX 127.79Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 46.67Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 79.55Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1153, 7153, 319

/ 100 compat

Projected

193.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1153, 7153, 319

Auto

32.3 17%

Teleop

87.1 45%

Endgame

74.1 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2648, 1100, 228

/ 100 compat

Projected

254 pts

~2.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2648, 1100, 228

Auto

55.2 21%

Teleop

177.0 68%

Endgame

26.2 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.36 · Blue 2.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score193.2pts

Blue projected score254pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -60.8
Score range: 141–306
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 708 vs event baseline 286.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

399.1Season APEX377.9

32.3Auto55.2

87.1Teleop177

74.1Endgame26.2

125Consistency170

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	53
teleop	208	217
endgame	131	62
foul	0	0
total	376	332

Result

Final score

376 – 332

Prediction missed · off by 130.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.