New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

240.88 – 476.89

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

189 – 548

Prediction correct · off by 61.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 460.5 ±9.8

1991The Dragons

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX 6.35Rank 40Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 111.17Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8046LakerBots

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 123.36Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 687.5 ±8.8

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 265.02Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4041Iron Tigers

Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 70.86Rank 41Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

166Chop Shop

Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 141.01Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1991, 8085, 8046

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1991, 8085, 8046

Auto

37.7 15%

Teleop

162.4 66%

Endgame

45.3 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3467, 4041, 166

/ 100 compat

Projected

476.9 pts

~2.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3467, 4041, 166

Auto

124.6 26%

Teleop

246.6 52%

Endgame

99.8 21%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score240.9pts

Blue projected score476.9pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 35%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -236
Score range: 190–528
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 737 vs event baseline 281.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

460.5Season APEX687.5

37.7Auto124.6

162.4Teleop246.6

45.3Endgame99.8

101Consistency85

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	105
teleop	101	308
endgame	44	135
foul	0	0
total	189	548

Result

Final score

189 – 548

Prediction correct · off by 61.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.