New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

265.25 – 140.75

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

211 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 50.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 500.4 ±9.8

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 228.75Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX -5.5Rank 42Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11131Brainstorm

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 42Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 311.9 ±10.4

3182Athena's Warriors

Season APEX 70Event APEX 63.93Rank 47Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

467Center of Mass

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 9.57Rank 48Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2423The KwarQs

Season APEX 133.5Event APEX 67.25Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6328, 7153, 11131

/ 100 compat

Projected

265.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6328, 7153, 11131

Auto

30.7 11%

Teleop

169.8 62%

Endgame

72.3 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3182, 467, 2423

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3182, 467, 2423

Auto

40.0 28%

Teleop

72.3 50%

Endgame

31.9 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score265.3pts

Blue projected score140.8pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 124.5
Score range: 89–317
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 399 vs event baseline 288.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

500.4Season APEX311.9

30.7Auto40

169.8Teleop72.3

72.3Endgame31.9

70Consistency144

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	46
teleop	117	88
endgame	17	34
foul	0	20
total	211	188

Result

Final score

211 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 50.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.