New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

218.8 – 366.51

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

473 – 234

Prediction missed · off by 193.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 688.1 ±8.8

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 121.85Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

95Grasshoppers

Season APEX 164.4Event APEX 44.1Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 52.85Rank 12Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 436.7 ±10.4

5422Stormgears

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 62.6Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2648Infinite Loop

Season APEX 121.7Event APEX 159.23Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1153Timberwolves

Season APEX 156.7Event APEX 144.68Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7407, 95, 190

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7407, 95, 190

Auto

36.6 18%

Teleop

123.7 60%

Endgame

47.2 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5422, 2648, 1153

/ 100 compat

Projected

366.5 pts

~2.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5422, 2648, 1153

Auto

59.1 16%

Teleop

189.4 52%

Endgame

113.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.07 · Blue 2.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score218.8pts

Blue projected score366.5pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -147.7
Score range: 168–418
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 707 vs event baseline 286.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

688.1Season APEX436.7

36.6Auto59.1

123.7Teleop189.4

47.2Endgame113

120Consistency129

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	92	20
teleop	211	159
endgame	95	55
foul	75	0
total	473	234

Result

Final score

473 – 234

Prediction missed · off by 193.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.