New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

284.16 – 144.94

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

475 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 111.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 608.5 ±9.3

2877LigerBots

Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 156.18Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX -10.12Rank 46Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1922Oz-Ram

Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 138.1Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 275.8 ±10.4

1350The Rambots

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 50.87Rank 43Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3597Robo-Rangers

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 31.18Rank 50Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8013Boston Lions

Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 62.89Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2877, 61, 1922

/ 100 compat

Projected

284.2 pts

~2.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2877, 61, 1922

Auto

54.7 19%

Teleop

158.0 56%

Endgame

69.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1350, 3597, 8013

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1350, 3597, 8013

Auto

58.8 41%

Teleop

66.0 46%

Endgame

19.0 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.55 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score284.2pts

Blue projected score144.9pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 139.2
Score range: 94–335
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 587 vs event baseline 285.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

608.5Season APEX275.8

54.7Auto58.8

158Teleop66

69.7Endgame19

173Consistency107

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	33
teleop	298	51
endgame	127	28
foul	10	0
total	475	112

Result

Final score

475 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 111.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.