New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

335.48 – 182.5

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

261 – 365

Prediction missed · off by 128.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 357.5 ±10.4

228GUS

Season APEX 116.1Event APEX 106.04Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 127.05Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4041Iron Tigers

Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 102.39Rank 41Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 589.5 ±9.3

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 135.29Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6201The Highlanders

Season APEX 166.8Event APEX 3.92Rank 26Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 43.29Rank 15Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 228, 8085, 4041

/ 100 compat

Projected

335.5 pts

~2.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 228, 8085, 4041

Auto

57.1 17%

Teleop

207.5 62%

Endgame

68.8 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 88, 6201, 177

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 88, 6201, 177

Auto

48.4 26%

Teleop

104.3 55%

Endgame

37.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score335.5pts

Blue projected score182.5pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 153
Score range: 132–386
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 626 vs event baseline 282.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

357.5Season APEX589.5

57.1Auto48.4

207.5Teleop104.3

68.8Endgame37

137Consistency142

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	41
teleop	154	213
endgame	56	111
foul	0	0
total	261	365

Result

Final score

261 – 365

Prediction missed · off by 128.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.