New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

116.76 – 294.44

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

135 – 264

Prediction correct · off by 24.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 361.6 ±9.8

6201The Highlanders

Season APEX 166.8Event APEX -1.58Rank 26Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 30.93Rank 42Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4041Iron Tigers

Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 87.41Rank 41Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 566.2 ±9.8

95Grasshoppers

Season APEX 164.4Event APEX 80.82Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1922Oz-Ram

Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 112.79Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5962perSEVERE

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 100.83Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6201, 7153, 4041

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6201, 7153, 4041

Auto

43.0 35%

Teleop

56.8 47%

Endgame

21.5 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 95, 1922, 5962

/ 100 compat

Projected

294.4 pts

~2.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 95, 1922, 5962

Auto

38.8 13%

Teleop

167.3 58%

Endgame

84.7 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score116.8pts

Blue projected score294.4pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -177.7
Score range: 66–345
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 399 vs event baseline 283.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

361.6Season APEX566.2

43Auto38.8

56.8Teleop167.3

21.5Endgame84.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	28
teleop	61	154
endgame	45	77
foul	5	5
total	135	264

Result

Final score

135 – 264

Prediction correct · off by 24.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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