New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

184.31 – 199.66

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

243 – 97

Prediction missed · off by 80.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 467.1 ±9.4

8544Reinforcement

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 79.23Rank 44Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11483Red Line Robotics

Season APEX 110.8Event APEX 28.33Rank 36Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 76.75Rank 12Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 310.3 ±10.4

3323Potential Energy

Season APEX 122.4Event APEX 66.52Rank 23Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1350The Rambots

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 69.94Rank 43Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1071Team MAX

Season APEX 105Event APEX 63.2Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8544, 11483, 190

/ 100 compat

Projected

184.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8544, 11483, 190

Auto

53.2 29%

Teleop

82.2 45%

Endgame

48.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3323, 1350, 1071

/ 100 compat

Projected

199.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3323, 1350, 1071

Auto

42.7 22%

Teleop

128.2 65%

Endgame

26.2 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score184.3pts

Blue projected score199.7pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -15.3
Score range: 134–250
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 340 vs event baseline 279.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

467.1Season APEX310.3

53.2Auto42.7

82.2Teleop128.2

48Endgame26.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	5
teleop	133	47
endgame	54	45
foul	5	0
total	243	97

Result

Final score

243 – 97

Prediction missed · off by 80.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.