New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

246.42 – 535.03

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

274 – 578

Prediction correct · off by 35.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 373.1 ±10.4

2423The KwarQs

Season APEX 133.5Event APEX 72.81Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1350The Rambots

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 40.15Rank 43Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1153Timberwolves

Season APEX 156.7Event APEX 133.46Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 729.6 ±8.8

7674RaiderBots

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 77.39Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 251.25Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 206.39Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2423, 1350, 1153

/ 100 compat

Projected

246.4 pts

~0.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2423, 1350, 1153

Auto

46.2 19%

Teleop

132.9 55%

Endgame

61.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7674, 3467, 88

/ 100 compat

Projected

535 pts

~2.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7674, 3467, 88

Auto

114.3 22%

Teleop

287.4 55%

Endgame

123.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score246.4pts

Blue projected score535pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 34%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -288.6
Score range: 188–593
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 852 vs event baseline 319.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

373.1Season APEX729.6

46.2Auto114.3

132.9Teleop287.4

61.3Endgame123.4

75Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	112
teleop	157	334
endgame	65	132
foul	0	0
total	274	578

Result

Final score

274 – 578

Prediction correct · off by 35.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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