New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

122.56 – 187.67

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

234 – 124

Prediction missed · off by 87.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 373 ±10.4

3182Athena's Warriors

Season APEX 70Event APEX 8.25Rank 47Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

177Bobcat Robotics

Season APEX 162.9Event APEX 40.83Rank 15Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 73.48Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 450.5 ±9.8

3566Gone Fishin'

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX -1.84Rank 38Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 150.79Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 38.72Rank 46Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3182, 177, 1100

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3182, 177, 1100

Auto

36.8 30%

Teleop

69.8 58%

Endgame

14.1 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3566, 88, 61

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.7 pts

~2.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3566, 88, 61

Auto

65.9 37%

Teleop

69.4 39%

Endgame

42.3 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.31 · Blue 2.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score122.6pts

Blue projected score187.7pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -65.1
Score range: 71–240
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 358 vs event baseline 288.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

373Season APEX450.5

36.8Auto65.9

69.8Teleop69.4

14.1Endgame42.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	48
teleop	150	57
endgame	43	14
foul	0	5
total	234	124

Result

Final score

234 – 124

Prediction missed · off by 87.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.