New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

240.11 – 221.83

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

546 – 233

Prediction correct · off by 158.5 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 745.9 ±8.8

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 64.98Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 51.7Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 123.43Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 471.9 ±9.8

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 85.43Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8046LakerBots

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 58.11Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1350The Rambots

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 78.29Rank 43Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1699, 6329, 4909

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1699, 6329, 4909

Auto

54.7 22%

Teleop

140.4 57%

Endgame

50.1 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 45%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1100, 8046, 1350

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1100, 8046, 1350

Auto

34.5 16%

Teleop

135.1 61%

Endgame

52.4 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 45%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.23 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score240.1pts

Blue projected score221.8pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 45%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 18.3
Score range: 171–291
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 779 vs event baseline 283.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

745.9Season APEX471.9

54.7Auto34.5

140.4Teleop135.1

50.1Endgame52.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	94	61
teleop	298	139
endgame	139	33
foul	15	0
total	546	233

Result

Final score

546 – 233

Prediction correct · off by 158.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.