New England FIRST District Championship - Newsom Division presented by GE Aerospace

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

529.25 – 520.63

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

578 – 324

Prediction correct · off by 122.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 896.7 ±8.1

6201The Highlanders

Season APEX 166.8Event APEX 22.72Rank 26Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 248.66Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 257.87Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 693.1 ±9.3

7674RaiderBots

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 89.85Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 216.92Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 213.86Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6201, 3467, 6329

/ 100 compat

Projected

529.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6201, 3467, 6329

Auto

122.3 24%

Teleop

279.9 54%

Endgame

114.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7674, 6328, 88

/ 100 compat

Projected

520.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7674, 6328, 88

Auto

113.5 22%

Teleop

291.7 57%

Endgame

105.5 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.9 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score529.3pts

Blue projected score520.6pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 35%, blue 32%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 8.6
Score range: 464–586
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 902 vs event baseline 318.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

896.7Season APEX693.1

122.3Auto113.5

279.9Teleop291.7

114.5Endgame105.5

73Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	162	70
teleop	304	160
endgame	112	94
foul	0	0
total	578	324

Result

Final score

578 – 324

Prediction correct · off by 122.7 pts

Match videos

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