Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
New England FIRST District Championship - Burns Division presented by GlobalFoundries

Qualification · Qualification 97

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

353.3 – 286.57

70%30%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

402 – 356

Prediction correct · off by 59.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 627.8 ±9.3
131CHAOS
A
Season APEX 268.3Event APEX 182.34Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4925The Resistance
C
Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 42.57Rank 47Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1058PVC Pirates
A
Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 128.39Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 539.7 ±9.8
20794H ALARM Robotics
B
Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 112.35Rank 29Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
7127LongMetal Robotics
C
Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 54.24Rank 34Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
8724Mayhem
A
Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 119.98Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 131, 4925, 1058
64
/ 100 compat
Projected
353.3 pts
~2.5 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 131, 4925, 1058
Auto
42.6 12%
Teleop
192.3 55%
Endgame
114.9 33%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 37%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2079, 7127, 8724
56
/ 100 compat
Projected
286.6 pts
~1.6 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 2079, 7127, 8724
Auto
42.0 15%
Teleop
162.6 57%
Endgame
80.6 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 37%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.47 · Blue 1.57
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score353.3pts
Blue projected score286.6pts
Red win probability70%
Event bonus sample232alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 69%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 37%, blue 33%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
66.7
Score range
226–414
Upset likelihood
30%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 758 vs event baseline 341.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

627.8Season APEX539.7
42.6Auto42
192.3Teleop162.6
114.9Endgame80.6
85Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto9343
teleop203162
endgame106146
foul05
total402356

Result

Final score

402 – 356

Prediction correct · off by 59.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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