New England FIRST District Championship - Burns Division presented by GlobalFoundries

Qualification · Qualification 95

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

317.55 – 503.18

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

337 – 603

Prediction correct · off by 59.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 426.4 ±10.4

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 172.2Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

151Tough Techs

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 58.68Rank 42Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1512The Big Red

Season APEX 135.2Event APEX 86.67Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 632.1 ±9.4

133B.E.R.T.

Season APEX 209.2Event APEX 190.53Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 4.92Rank 46Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 307.73Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 236, 151, 1512

/ 100 compat

Projected

317.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 236, 151, 1512

Auto

66.5 21%

Teleop

163.5 52%

Endgame

86.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 32%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 133, 8567, 125

/ 100 compat

Projected

503.2 pts

~2.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 133, 8567, 125

Auto

82.0 17%

Teleop

300.2 61%

Endgame

110.4 22%

Strengths

· 125 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 32%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.2 · Blue 2.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score317.6pts

Blue projected score503.2pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample232alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 32%, blue 39%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -185.6
Score range: 257–564
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 940 vs event baseline 339.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

426.4Season APEX632.1

66.5Auto82

163.5Teleop300.2

86.4Endgame110.4

108Consistency127

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	96
teleop	154	400
endgame	106	107
foul	35	0
total	337	603

Result

Final score

337 – 603

Prediction correct · off by 59.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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