New England FIRST District Championship - Burns Division presented by GlobalFoundries

Qualification · Qualification 94

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

404.79 – 380.49

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

374 – 476

Prediction missed · off by 63.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 576.9 ±9.3

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 211.21Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3146GRANBY GRUNTS

Season APEX 128.1Event APEX 99.34Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

348Norwell Robotics

Season APEX 147.4Event APEX 94.24Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 522.5 ±9.8

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 291.42Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 46.84Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

509Red Storm

Season APEX 99.9Event APEX 42.23Rank 31Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 195, 3146, 348

/ 100 compat

Projected

404.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 195, 3146, 348

Auto

76.4 19%

Teleop

208.6 52%

Endgame

114.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 36%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5687, 9710, 509

/ 100 compat

Projected

380.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5687, 9710, 509

Auto

83.3 22%

Teleop

204.9 55%

Endgame

85.3 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 36%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.18 · Blue 1.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score404.8pts

Blue projected score380.5pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample232alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 36%, blue 35%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 24.3
Score range: 319–466
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 850 vs event baseline 338.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

576.9Season APEX522.5

76.4Auto83.3

208.6Teleop204.9

114.5Endgame85.3

111Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	80	129
teleop	158	242
endgame	131	75
foul	5	30
total	374	476

Result

Final score

374 – 476

Prediction missed · off by 63.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.