New England FIRST District Championship - Burns Division presented by GlobalFoundries

Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

261.19 – 263.19

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

337 – 699

Prediction correct · off by 255.8 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 599.9 ±9.3

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 68Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 136Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8708Ov3R1y K0Mp13X

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX -Rank 50Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 883.3 ±8.7

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 127.14Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX -Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

131CHAOS

Season APEX 268.3Event APEX 78.86Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6324, 1073, 8708

/ 100 compat

Projected

261.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6324, 1073, 8708

Auto

50.3 20%

Teleop

156.0 61%

Endgame

50.6 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5687, 195, 131

/ 100 compat

Projected

263.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5687, 195, 131

Auto

62.3 24%

Teleop

141.2 54%

Endgame

59.7 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.01 · Blue 2.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score261.2pts

Blue projected score263.2pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample232alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 35%, blue 47%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -2
Score range: 199–325
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1036 vs event baseline 343.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

599.9Season APEX883.3

33.2Auto45.1

127.4Teleop112.6

39.1Endgame48.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	105
teleop	189	383
endgame	80	211
foul	0	0
total	337	699

Result

Final score

337 – 699

Prediction correct · off by 255.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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