Qualification · Qualification 80
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
299.91 – 294.01
52%48%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
263 – 399
Prediction missed · off by 71 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 531.6 ±9.8
Season APEX 124.7Event APEX 61.28Rank 34Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 143.35Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 146Event APEX 95.28Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 525.2 ±9.8
Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 200.45Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 45.08Rank 42Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 98Event APEX 48.48Rank 33Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7127, 2370, 8709
60
/ 100 compatProjected
299.9 pts
~2.1 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 7127, 2370, 8709
Auto
67.1 23%
Teleop
169.6 58%
Endgame
54.2 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 73%
Supercharged: 29%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 195, 151, 11175
64
/ 100 compatProjected
294 pts
~1.9 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 195, 151, 11175
Auto
74.8 26%
Teleop
144.8 50%
Endgame
68.7 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 73%
Supercharged: 29%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.08 · Blue 1.9
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score299.9pts
Blue projected score294pts
Red win probability52%
Event bonus sample232alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 73%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 29%, blue 29%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 5.9
- Score range
- 233–361
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
531.6Season APEX525.2
67.1Auto74.8
169.6Teleop144.8
54.2Endgame68.7
79Consistency93
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 61 | 107 |
| teleop | 157 | 207 |
| endgame | 45 | 70 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 263 | 399 |
Result
Final score
263 – 399
Prediction missed · off by 71 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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