Qualification · Qualification 79
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
224.35 – 567.54
2%98%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
189 – 590
Prediction correct · off by 28.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 334 ±10.4
Season APEX 128.1Event APEX 108.21Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 86.73Rank 41Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82Event APEX 29.41Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 724 ±8.2
Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 245.57Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 22.53Rank 50Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 299.44Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3146, 1729, 3654
52
/ 100 compatProjected
224.4 pts
~0.9 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 3146, 1729, 3654
Auto
32.7 15%
Teleop
124.6 56%
Endgame
65.7 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 26%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1768, 8708, 125
86
/ 100 compatProjected
567.5 pts
~3.0 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 1768, 8708, 125
Auto
102.9 18%
Teleop
332.9 59%
Endgame
125.2 22%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 26%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.93 · Blue 2.96
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score224.4pts
Blue projected score567.5pts
Red win probability2%
Event bonus sample232alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 61%
Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 37%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -343.2
- Score range
- 163–629
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
334Season APEX724
32.7Auto102.9
124.6Teleop332.9
65.7Endgame125.2
120Consistency113
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 106 |
| teleop | 90 | 269 |
| endgame | 77 | 195 |
| foul | 0 | 20 |
| total | 189 | 590 |
Result
Final score
189 – 590
Prediction correct · off by 28.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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