New England FIRST District Championship - Burns Division presented by GlobalFoundries

Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

319.76 – 459.31

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

198 – 502

Prediction correct · off by 82.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 542.6 ±9.8

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 147.36Rank 29Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 19.85Rank 46Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 152.55Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 566.8 ±9.4

8709Pathfinder Tech

Season APEX 146Event APEX 96.07Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 297.19Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 66.05Rank 22Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2079, 8567, 6324

/ 100 compat

Projected

319.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2079, 8567, 6324

Auto

69.4 23%

Teleop

184.0 60%

Endgame

52.8 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8709, 125, 2170

/ 100 compat

Projected

459.3 pts

~2.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8709, 125, 2170

Auto

69.4 15%

Teleop

307.2 68%

Endgame

78.5 17%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.12 · Blue 2.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score319.8pts

Blue projected score459.3pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample232alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 40%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -139.5
Score range: 260–519
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 700 vs event baseline 333.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

542.6Season APEX566.8

69.4Auto69.4

184Teleop307.2

52.8Endgame78.5

95Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	81	114
teleop	69	265
endgame	28	123
foul	20	0
total	198	502

Result

Final score

198 – 502

Prediction correct · off by 82.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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