Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
175.42 – 175.42
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
198 – 581
Prediction missed · off by 214.1 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 367.4 ±10.4
Season APEX 91.1Event APEX -Rank 22Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 149.7Event APEX -Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 126.6Event APEX -Rank 35Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 688.3 ±8.8
Season APEX 316.5Event APEX -Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 109Event APEX -Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 262.8Event APEX -Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2170, 4311, 230
50
/ 100 compatProjected
175.4 pts
~2.0 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 2170, 4311, 230
Auto
52.6 30%
Teleop
87.7 50%
Endgame
35.1 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 32%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1768, 9710, 571
50
/ 100 compatProjected
175.4 pts
~2.1 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 1768, 9710, 571
Auto
52.6 30%
Teleop
87.7 50%
Endgame
35.1 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 32%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.99 · Blue 2.06
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score175.4pts
Blue projected score175.4pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample232alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 65%
Supercharged bonusred 32%, blue 39%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 112–238
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
367.4Season APEX688.3
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 122 |
| teleop | 66 | 299 |
| endgame | 112 | 155 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 198 | 581 |
Result
Final score
198 – 581
Prediction missed · off by 214.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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