New England FIRST District Championship - Burns Division presented by GlobalFoundries

Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

255.55 – 381.19

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

96 – 424

Prediction correct · off by 101.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 418.6 ±9.8

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 87.72Rank 22Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8724Mayhem

Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 131.08Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 36.75Rank 46Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 538 ±9.3

348Norwell Robotics

Season APEX 147.4Event APEX 98.94Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 266.89Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3958Schrodinger's Cat

Season APEX 77Event APEX 15.36Rank 48Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2170, 8724, 8567

/ 100 compat

Projected

255.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2170, 8724, 8567

Auto

21.5 8%

Teleop

141.1 56%

Endgame

90.4 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 348, 5687, 3958

/ 100 compat

Projected

381.2 pts

~2.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 348, 5687, 3958

Auto

75.3 20%

Teleop

206.1 54%

Endgame

101.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.3 · Blue 2.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score255.6pts

Blue projected score381.2pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample232alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 34%, blue 33%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -125.6
Score range: 196–441
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 520 vs event baseline 333.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

418.6Season APEX538

21.5Auto75.3

141.1Teleop206.1

90.4Endgame101.3

132Consistency152

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	135
teleop	57	185
endgame	24	104
foul	0	0
total	96	424

Result

Final score

96 – 424

Prediction correct · off by 101.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.