New England FIRST District Championship - Burns Division presented by GlobalFoundries

Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

122.25 – 331.8

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

108 – 350

Prediction correct · off by 16.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 285.2 ±10.4

10910The Outlaws

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 36.92Rank 36Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 21.94Rank 49Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3623The Robomingos

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 63.39Rank 44Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 513.7 ±9.3

11175Tidal Shock

Season APEX 98Event APEX 57.35Rank 33Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

131CHAOS

Season APEX 268.3Event APEX 173.02Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

348Norwell Robotics

Season APEX 147.4Event APEX 101.43Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10910, 155, 3623

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 10910, 155, 3623

Auto

37.1 33%

Teleop

33.6 30%

Endgame

42.3 37%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11175, 131, 348

/ 100 compat

Projected

331.8 pts

~2.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 11175, 131, 348

Auto

23.8 7%

Teleop

176.7 54%

Endgame

129.7 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.94 · Blue 2.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score122.3pts

Blue projected score331.8pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample232alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 32%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -209.5
Score range: 62–392
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 458 vs event baseline 334.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

285.2Season APEX513.7

37.1Auto23.8

33.6Teleop176.7

42.3Endgame129.7

84Consistency90

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	32
teleop	59	226
endgame	31	92
foul	0	0
total	108	350

Result

Final score

108 – 350

Prediction correct · off by 16.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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