New England FIRST District Championship - Burns Division presented by GlobalFoundries

Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

146.85 – 320.53

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

101 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 57.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 307.6 ±10.4

8708Ov3R1y K0Mp13X

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 13.43Rank 50Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 110.81Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4925The Resistance

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 22.61Rank 47Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 364 ±10.4

10063S.C.R.A.P.

Season APEX 107.5Event APEX 55.62Rank 21Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2170Galvanized Guardians

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 102.42Rank 22Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

236Techno-Ticks

Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 162.49Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8708, 175, 4925

/ 100 compat

Projected

146.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8708, 175, 4925

Auto

6.6 5%

Teleop

73.9 50%

Endgame

66.0 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10063, 2170, 236

/ 100 compat

Projected

320.5 pts

~2.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 10063, 2170, 236

Auto

60.2 18%

Teleop

159.4 49%

Endgame

106.4 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.02 · Blue 2.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score146.9pts

Blue projected score320.5pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample232alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 34%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -173.7
Score range: 86–382
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 352 vs event baseline 338.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

307.6Season APEX364

6.6Auto60.2

73.9Teleop159.4

66Endgame106.4

127Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	49
teleop	61	130
endgame	27	72
foul	0	0
total	101	251

Result

Final score

101 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 57.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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