New England FIRST District Championship - Burns Division presented by GlobalFoundries

Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

351.27 – 280.84

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

523 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 120.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 688.7 ±9.3

1058PVC Pirates

Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 111.85Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 140.01Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 99.41Rank 29Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 430.9 ±9.8

58The Riot Crew

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 107.19Rank 45Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3146GRANBY GRUNTS

Season APEX 128.1Event APEX 97.11Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 76.54Rank 28Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1058, 2370, 2079

/ 100 compat

Projected

351.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1058, 2370, 2079

Auto

81.8 24%

Teleop

202.1 59%

Endgame

58.3 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 58, 3146, 9644

/ 100 compat

Projected

280.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 58, 3146, 9644

Auto

34.2 12%

Teleop

174.9 63%

Endgame

69.9 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.42 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score351.3pts

Blue projected score280.8pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample232alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 33%, blue 26%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 70.4
Score range: 220–412
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 734 vs event baseline 337.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

688.7Season APEX430.9

81.8Auto34.2

202.1Teleop174.9

58.3Endgame69.9

76Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	116	49
teleop	287	107
endgame	110	55
foul	10	0
total	523	211

Result

Final score

523 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 120.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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