New England FIRST District Championship - Burns Division presented by GlobalFoundries

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

389.84 – 477.85

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

399 – 459

Prediction correct · off by 14 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 507.9 ±9.8

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 66.24Rank 43Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3654TechTigers

Season APEX 82Event APEX 62.92Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 260.68Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 703.5 ±9.3

133B.E.R.T.

Season APEX 209.2Event APEX 159.8Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2067Apple Pi

Season APEX 260Event APEX 176.98Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8724Mayhem

Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 141.07Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2876, 3654, 5687

/ 100 compat

Projected

389.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2876, 3654, 5687

Auto

65.5 17%

Teleop

229.5 59%

Endgame

91.0 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 133, 2067, 8724

/ 100 compat

Projected

477.9 pts

~2.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 133, 2067, 8724

Auto

93.3 20%

Teleop

258.0 54%

Endgame

122.1 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.51 · Blue 2.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score389.8pts

Blue projected score477.9pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample232alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 34%, blue 45%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -88
Score range: 330–538
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 858 vs event baseline 336.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

507.9Season APEX703.5

65.5Auto93.3

229.5Teleop258

91Endgame122.1

173Consistency121

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	121	62
teleop	170	200
endgame	103	197
foul	5	0
total	399	459

Result

Final score

399 – 459

Prediction correct · off by 14 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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