New England FIRST District Championship - Burns Division presented by GlobalFoundries

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

302.38 – 296.28

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

555 – 438

Prediction correct · off by 197.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 775.1 ±9.3

10254Regal Seagulls

Season APEX 269Event APEX 127.47Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 103.7Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 71.21Rank 40Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 531.6 ±9.8

1512The Big Red

Season APEX 135.2Event APEX 74.02Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

131CHAOS

Season APEX 268.3Event APEX 147.3Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3146GRANBY GRUNTS

Season APEX 128.1Event APEX 74.96Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10254, 6324, 4905

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 10254, 6324, 4905

Auto

61.1 21%

Teleop

177.3 61%

Endgame

54.6 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1512, 131, 3146

/ 100 compat

Projected

296.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1512, 131, 3146

Auto

44.3 15%

Teleop

141.4 47%

Endgame

117.9 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.04 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score302.4pts

Blue projected score296.3pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample232alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 30%, blue 39%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 6.1
Score range: 236–362
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 993 vs event baseline 334.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

775.1Season APEX531.6

61.1Auto44.3

177.3Teleop141.4

54.6Endgame117.9

178Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	80	38
teleop	328	228
endgame	147	172
foul	0	0
total	555	438

Result

Final score

555 – 438

Prediction correct · off by 197.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.