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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
New England FIRST District Championship - Burns Division presented by GlobalFoundries

Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

559.7 – 402.57

88%12%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

462 – 486

Prediction missed · off by 90.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 681.6 ±9.3
571Paragon Robotics
A
Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 252.03Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1073The Force Team
A
Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 151.12Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
236Techno-Ticks
B
Season APEX 165.4Event APEX 156.55Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 660 ±9.3
5000HAMMERHEADS
A+
Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 229.43Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1058PVC Pirates
A
Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 104.29Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2170Galvanized Guardians
C
Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 68.85Rank 22Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 571, 1073, 236
85
/ 100 compat
Projected
559.7 pts
~2.9 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 571, 1073, 236
Auto
64.9 12%
Teleop
313.8 58%
Endgame
162.8 30%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 70%
Supercharged: 39%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5000, 1058, 2170
69
/ 100 compat
Projected
402.6 pts
~1.4 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 5000, 1058, 2170
Auto
59.2 15%
Teleop
217.8 54%
Endgame
127.9 32%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 70%
Supercharged: 39%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.86 · Blue 1.36
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score559.7pts
Blue projected score402.6pts
Red win probability88%
Event bonus sample232alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 70%, blue 68%
Supercharged bonusred 39%, blue 42%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
157.1
Score range
342–621
Upset likelihood
12%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
Close match
High scoring

Combined score 948 vs event baseline 337.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

681.6Season APEX660
64.9Auto59.2
313.8Teleop217.8
162.8Endgame127.9
134Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto9062
teleop253268
endgame119151
foul05
total462486

Result

Final score

462 – 486

Prediction missed · off by 90.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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