New England FIRST District Championship - Burns Division presented by GlobalFoundries

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

310.52 – 143.85

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

373 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 32.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 529 ±10.4

3623The Robomingos

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 79.11Rank 44Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

133B.E.R.T.

Season APEX 209.2Event APEX 149.02Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 82.39Rank 40Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 375 ±9.8

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 100.67Rank 28Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3958Schrodinger's Cat

Season APEX 77Event APEX 4.22Rank 48Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1729Team Inconceivable!

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 38.96Rank 41Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3623, 133, 4905

/ 100 compat

Projected

310.5 pts

~2.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3623, 133, 4905

Auto

80.4 27%

Teleop

184.6 61%

Endgame

38.3 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9644, 3958, 1729

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9644, 3958, 1729

Auto

32.6 22%

Teleop

79.7 54%

Endgame

35.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.71 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score310.5pts

Blue projected score143.9pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample232alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 28%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 166.7
Score range: 83–372
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 514 vs event baseline 340.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

529Season APEX375

80.4Auto32.6

184.6Teleop79.7

38.3Endgame35.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	70	27
teleop	206	92
endgame	82	22
foul	15	0
total	373	141

Result

Final score

373 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 32.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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