New England FIRST District Championship - Burns Division presented by GlobalFoundries

Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

398.62 – 343.47

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

504 – 195

Prediction correct · off by 126.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 698.8 ±8.8

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 147.49Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 234.07Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10910The Outlaws

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 17.06Rank 36Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 401.9 ±10.4

155The TechnoNuts

Season APEX 94.6Event APEX 81.9Rank 49Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 196.69Rank 29Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

230Gaelhawks

Season APEX 126.6Event APEX 64.88Rank 35Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2370, 125, 10910

/ 100 compat

Projected

398.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2370, 125, 10910

Auto

65.0 17%

Teleop

229.9 59%

Endgame

94.4 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 155, 2079, 230

/ 100 compat

Projected

343.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 155, 2079, 230

Auto

44.5 13%

Teleop

165.2 49%

Endgame

130.9 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.39 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score398.6pts

Blue projected score343.5pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample232alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 34%, blue 26%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 55.1
Score range: 281–461
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 699 vs event baseline 344.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

698.8Season APEX401.9

65Auto44.5

229.9Teleop165.2

94.4Endgame130.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	81	44
teleop	269	88
endgame	129	63
foul	25	0
total	504	195

Result

Final score

504 – 195

Prediction correct · off by 126.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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